Monday 30 September 2013

The Korean Grand Prix Form Guide: Part 3 - Top Six Finish

Formula 1 Betting By Numbers


So far in the run-up to Korea, I've analysed the top formula 1 bets in the Winning Driver and Podum Finish betting markets and today I move on to the Top Six betting market.

As usual I've compiled two form guide charts; the first weighted in favour of recent results and the second based on the entire 2013 season.

Here's the first form chart...

'Betting Profit' Chart For Top Six Finish (Current Form):


Top 6 FinishProfit*Winning Bet
Nico Hulkenberg14.001
Felipe Massa0.973
Fernando Alonso0.806
Sebastian Vettel0.455
Nico Rosberg0.404
Jenson Button-0.102
Lewis Hamilton-0.155
Mark Webber-0.534
Kimi Raikkonen-0.764
Romain Grosjean-1.632
Rest Of The Field-3.500

*
Profit weighted in favour of recent races.  To be specific, I've calculated the returns based on a standard £1 bet on the same driver at each of the previous six Grand Prix and then applied the following multipliers; Britain 16.7%, Germany 33.3%, Hungary 50%, Belgium 66.7%, Italy 83.3% and Singapore 100%.


Nico Hulkenberg tops the chart thanks to his fifth place finish at Monza when he was available at 20/1, but if you're looking for a safe bet then Fernando Alonso has been the stand out choice, having achieved a Top Six finish at every Grand Prix since Canada.


Ferrari Store Spring/Summer 2013


The second chart shows the figures for the entire season...

'Betting Profit' Chart For Top Six Finish (Entire Season):


Top 6 FinishProfit*Winning Bet
Nico Hulkenberg8.001
Jean-Eric Vergne4.001
Lewis Hamilton2.2111
Sebastian Vettel1.7212
Felipe Massa0.617
Mark Webber0.569
Nico Rosberg0.128
Fernando Alonso-0.5610
Jenson Button-0.824
Kimi Raikkonen-2.068
Romain Grosjean-2.714
Sergio Perez-8.001
Paul di Resta-9.251
Adrian Sutil-10.251
Rest Of The Field-13.000

Please note, even in the few days before first practise, the odds can sometimes vary slightly, so I've generally tried to take the odds a few days before each Grand Prix as soon as the market opened.

That's the Top Six statistics covered and tomorrow I'll be looking at the form guide for Top Ten Finish betting.


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Related posts:
The Korean Grand Prix Form Guide: Part 1 - Winning Driver
The Korean Grand Prix Form Guide: Part 2 - Podium Finish
The Korean Grand Prix Form Guide: Part 4 - Top Ten Finish
The Korean Grand Prix Form Guide: Part 5 - Miscellaneous Bets
Korean Grand Prix: The Top Bets By The Form Guide


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